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Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sporting CPof Sporting CP, Rio Ave FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Rio Ave FC52c60,000$31,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,199.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sporting CP48c21,191$10,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,019.1296542.9%414 W · 551 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Sporting CP54c7,463$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.292,10336.6%770 W · 1,333 L-27.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Sporting CP49c7,096$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.214445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sporting CP48c6,955$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.345242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sporting CP48c6,077$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.082,16747.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L+5.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Rio Ave FC51c5,577$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.2648343.9%212 W · 271 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Sporting CP48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5602157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Rio Ave FC52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…b2b1backed Sporting CP49c2,978$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sporting CP48c2,629$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.122,12335.5%754 W · 1,369 L-24.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rio Ave FC53c2,600$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37211436.8%42 W · 72 L-15.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Sporting CP48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0406547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Sporting CP48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Sporting CP49c1,568$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.677163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Sporting CP48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65080150.1%401 W · 400 L+2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Sporting CP48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65088250.1%442 W · 440 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Sporting CP48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013665.4%89 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Sporting CP48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46815952.8%84 W · 75 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sporting CP53c843.96$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.694244.6%420 W · 522 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb3…04dbbacked Sporting CP67c771.69$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sporting CP48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0827254%147 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Sporting CP48c602.79$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1579540.5%322 W · 473 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Sporting CP49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30611755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rio Ave FC53c452.16$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6594048.1%452 W · 488 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Sporting CP49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Sporting CP49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20410063%63 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sporting CP49c387$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2423151.9%120 W · 111 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Sporting CP48c347.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Rio Ave FC51c317.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.177737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked Sporting CP49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Rio Ave FC53c299.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.995050%25 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Sporting CP48c278.13$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.638068.8%55 W · 25 L+14.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Rio Ave FC50c249.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5212153.7%65 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Sporting CP66c221.48$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6587760.5%531 W · 346 L+92.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Sporting CP48c218.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7510555.2%58 W · 47 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Sporting CP49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sporting CP49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211553.9%62 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Sporting CP49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Sporting CP48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Sporting CP49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10214951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Sporting CP49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sporting CP80c162.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.650346.3%233 W · 270 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sporting CP48c162.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.851,48037.8%560 W · 920 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Sporting CP49c156$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.566662.1%41 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Rio Ave FC34c155.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.972821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Sporting CP48c153$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.567125.4%18 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Sporting CP49c134.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Rio Ave FC52c113$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.762867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Sporting CP49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Sporting CP49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.026953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Sporting CP49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Sporting CP50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Rio Ave FC51c93.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.551,50748.1%725 W · 782 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Sporting CP48c84.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1321056.2%118 W · 92 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Sporting CP49c84.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.076163.9%39 W · 22 L+13.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+53%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sporting CP52c78.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.292,72935.8%978 W · 1,751 L-13.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Rio Ave FC52c74.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Sporting CP49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Sporting CP50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Rio Ave FC52c56.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.293060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Sporting CP48c55.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Sporting CP49c53.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2dfabacked Rio Ave FC37c50.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Sporting CP47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.528651.7%148 W · 138 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rio Ave FC33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.574233.6%249 W · 493 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Sporting CP51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rio Ave FC52c49.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4955150.1%276 W · 275 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Rio Ave FC52c43.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.473860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Sporting CP48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Sporting CP50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Sporting CP49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.410061%61 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Sporting CP49c36.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Sporting CP48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.646553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Sporting CP48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Rio Ave FC52c30.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9914148.9%69 W · 72 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Sporting CP49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Sporting CP48c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4912864.8%83 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Sporting CP48c25.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Sporting CP48c23.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.124562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Sporting CP48c20.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Sporting CP71c17.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.123871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.