Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe17be96ac5b9cd8d3078a2974ace34bb0b4d2ee364bb433418ad8f39c3aa5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 3,685$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.01 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,095$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.86 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,805$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 79c | 763.92$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 604.35$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 591.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed No | 78c | 436.19$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 423.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 345$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 289.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 77c | 276$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 27c | 252.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 112.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 94.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 22c | 94.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 64.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 354 | 46.9%166 W · 188 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 53.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 35.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 78c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 73c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI end in a draw?this page
- Will OFI win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.