Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OFI win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6653ae4cb27b05f130596fef75b4232dbad7c8cda5ee1517170c42939ffae24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 57c | 11,809$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.2 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 47c | 7,500$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.26 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 6,040$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.01 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed No | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 3,622$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.52 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 2,176$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.34 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.39per pick | 20cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,331$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.69 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 52c | 1,311$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.6 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 1,211$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.24 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 640.81$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 475.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 14c | 235$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 16c | 230$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 138.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 112.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 60c | 89.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 79.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 470 | 36%169 W · 301 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed No | 52c | 42.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes | 58c | 39.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 43c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 47c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OFI win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.