Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3cf8c2c3543a5105d9cd013e77daa328d7b7701346c339e632d09775caae325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 8,582$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.91 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.98 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,008$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.96 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 2,759$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.55 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 42c | 2,179$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.72 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 77c | 2,090$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.42 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 1,531$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.12 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 67c | 1,362$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.92 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 976.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 58c | 924.68$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.31 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 754.61$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 20c | 618.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 69c | 477.57$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 30c | 462.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 251.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 64c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 144.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 76c | 142.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 24c | 136.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…d798backed Yes | 60c | 133.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 129.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 62c | 110.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Yes | 37c | 81.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 74.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 63c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 22c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Yes | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 37c | 61.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 20c | 57.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 67c | 51.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 35c | 41.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 62c | 34.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 31.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Yes | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will OFI win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.