Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9d12d5110715079bf21beed4dc7c9158a020db3956ca52d197286200f7c646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 13c | 3,025$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 2,420$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.03 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 770.42$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.29 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 72c | 534.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 375.11$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 356.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 74c | 338.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 27c | 293.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b6bbacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 238.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 152.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 105.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 72c | 76.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 53.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 357 | 46.2%165 W · 192 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 75c | 48.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 42.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…b58bbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 72c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.