Asian League · resolved market
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e276c39d5816147b1ae65faf10b5db0a6f58e54853c5650a98d8c2462edf26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 67c | 6,835$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.5 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 24c | 4,188$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.71 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 3,338$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.73 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 1,715$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 1,628$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.1 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 68c | 1,552$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 1,396$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 66c | 1,325$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 1,304$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 66c | 792.82$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 33c | 757$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 46c | 720$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 21c | 629.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 68c | 599.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 80c | 462.5$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 400.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 36c | 359.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 42c | 335.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Under | 60c | 309.04$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 31c | 270.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 41c | 234$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 33c | 215.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 6c | 212.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 188$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 171$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 33c | 159.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 29c | 152.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 125.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Over | 19c | 105.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Under | 79c | 105.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 90.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 78.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 74c | 77.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 76c | 72.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 67c | 71.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 33c | 65.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 42c | 59.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 38c | 58.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 53.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 201 | 57.2%115 W · 86 L | +15.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 69c | 38.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…55babacked Under | 67c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 67c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…2645backed Under | 76c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Al Fateh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Faisaly Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Faisaly Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Faisaly Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.