TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under67c9,189$6,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c7,045$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.882,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Over58c6,377$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under48c6,232$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.972828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c4,601$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.181,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c3,244$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.191,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under42c3,083$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.3212939.5%51 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over19c2,582$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.43728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c2,021$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.071,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over58c2,020$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.5976239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under36c1,284$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.811040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over45c962.69$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.952,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c909.56$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.452,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c903.85$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4793535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Over60c828.85$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over4c638.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c627.08$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.561,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under41c620$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.613240.9%54 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3367441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over65c592.44$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.674856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c573.99$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.439947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under43c533.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8430731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under41c476.09$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.122147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c442.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.186339.7%25 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c412.62$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.041,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c324$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.71,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c304$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5627337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under43c300.66$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.384757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c269.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0722653.5%121 W · 105 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over56c269.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over77c260$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Over38c231.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over58c227.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.152317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x125c…cb68backed Over67c204.57$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11215854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11221552.1%112 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over52c193.01$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5659342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Over72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7548867.8%331 W · 157 L+68.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c143.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4290544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under63c134.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.637552%195 W · 180 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c124.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under46c122$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2620838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over61c114.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3112145.5%55 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over65c103.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3772944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under31c103.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5840750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613351.9%69 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over57c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4954746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under45c97.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1613142.7%56 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c94.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4824747%116 W · 131 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over47c89.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over48c89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8345052.2%235 W · 215 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over59c77.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.416558.8%97 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee0…4078backed Under78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92475%3 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick79cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under27c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7556545.5%257 W · 308 L-24.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over60c68.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.958342.2%35 W · 48 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under41c68.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2913850%69 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Under63c67.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.923076.7%23 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under44c65.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.937728.6%22 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under46c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.441,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under38c61.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…830ebacked Over62c51.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c43.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.416555.8%92 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.064854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Over51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over46c34.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16896.7%6 W · 83 L-22.4wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78.2%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5620157.2%115 W · 86 L+15.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Over55c31.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over60c31.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26159%36 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…dfcfbacked Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Under46c26.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f8…2c9abacked Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over45c25.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.735657.1%32 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over62c25.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0810456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfc…e39abacked Over58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over50c25.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6710654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f0…a0b1backed Over80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Under60c21.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over64c19.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.629350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over67c15.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1511863.6%75 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.