TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c2,491$390 inLost-$390.4990544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over16c1,940$314 inLost-$314.291,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over10c1,556$155 inLost-$154.772828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over16c1,171$187 inLost-$187.3630731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c1,170$187 inLost-$187.242,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over16c1,000$160 inLost-$1601,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over16c799.98$128 inLost-$12810257.8%59 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over17c199.99$34 inLost-$341533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over17c193$33 inLost-$32.8117742.4%75 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over16c147.69$24 inLost-$23.631612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over22c109$24 inLost-$23.9828464.8%184 W · 100 L+29.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over18c106.61$19 inLost-$19.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Over16c100$16 inLost-$161070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under78c100$78 inWon+$222317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over18c65$11 inLost-$11.4316558.8%97 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.