Europa Conference League · resolved market
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d274d11819c11d2dc3d183a56e2b33fb85df4f1dd59aa3f054db12416259cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,502$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.99 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 54c | 1,013$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.88 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 46c | 848.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.45 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 54c | 628.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.53 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 476$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 380.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 181.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 61c | 102.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 100.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 84.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 80.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 53c | 60.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 33.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 46c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 45c | 23.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: AS Omónoia Leukosías O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 4.5Over won
- AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: Team to AdvanceAS Omónoia Leukosías won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won
- Spread: K. Sint-Truidense VV (-1.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.