Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46257b6f4351b0230d9375f734886da413fabdd2758794f32ba307435cfe27bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 2,887$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 1,468$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.58 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 77c | 1,349$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 23c | 1,254$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 8c | 1,028$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 31c | 317.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 27c | 130.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 62c | 122.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 122$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 98.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 86.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…8ee5backed Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 43.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 73c | 18.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.