Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175528dd0b69fbf3fa871f13ab7ea09e01411de83c0570e8b906ef7bbe5fc5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 30c | 1,544$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.34 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 881.7$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 791.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Yes | 17c | 684.23$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 37c | 378.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 354.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 332.4$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 316.3$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 25c | 307$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 306.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 260.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 6c | 250.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 247.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 246.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 236.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 25c | 226.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 201$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 68c | 187.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…c0e2backed Yes | 17c | 182.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 36c | 182$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…6c51backed Yes | 28c | 177.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 176.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 167.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 20c | 155.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 29c | 151.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 27c | 150.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 74c | 149.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 25c | 146.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 15c | 137.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 63c | 135.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 10c | 134.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 133.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 36c | 133.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 132.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 129.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 125.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 123.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 120.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 16c | 116.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 35c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 40c | 114.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 113.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 75c | 110.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 12c | 110.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 107.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked Yes | 28c | 104.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 64c | 104.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Yes | 27c | 100.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed No | 51c | 99.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 97.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 94.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 35c | 91.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 33c | 90.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 24c | 89.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 86.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 78c | 75.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 69.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed Yes | 17c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 59c | 66.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 65.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 50c | 63.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 29c | 60.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 72c | 58.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 74c | 58.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 39c | 52.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 34c | 50.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 45c | 49.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed No | 63c | 49.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 37c | 49.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 49.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 66c | 45.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…dcdebacked Yes | 30c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 33c | 45.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…cf39backed Yes | 35c | 43.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 39c | 42.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 42.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.