Valorant · resolved market
Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42681489cf219ace37eb11905682579ff35749dae735a6945dbb81ce0df1e975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 840.8$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 710.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed Yes | 25c | 611.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…affebacked Yes | 25c | 499.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 26c | 360.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 24c | 262.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed No | 52c | 243.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 75c | 194.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 167.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Yes | 23c | 166.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 21c | 113.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked No | 76c | 85.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 47c | 73.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…d504backed Yes | 20c | 57.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313e…8498backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 75c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…55d6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant Tournamentthis page
- Will 100 Thieves win the EWC Valorant TournamentYes won
- Will BBL Esports win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will Edward Gaming win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will G2 Esports win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will Gentle Mates win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will MIBR win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will NRG win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will Nongshim RedForce win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
- Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.