Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 17 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6d2dd033f36b85e7f02a55afe32cbf5969beb1cd6cb319e297ec588a07c06f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 74c | 1,175$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 18c | 805.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 399.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 73c | 392.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 43c | 355.76$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 22c | 298.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed No | 48c | 124.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Yes | 25c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…ca2cbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…efd6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 71c | 94.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 33c | 93.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 72c | 72.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed No | 44c | 52.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -12.9wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…83e1backed Yes | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…a573backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 17 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 17 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 17 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 17 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.