Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898ba15412d7a279dc82e31ef525b85a0bd6381ffa13af6d5b2d379f1a941c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,587$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.75 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 996.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 65c | 943.17$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.08 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed No | 71c | 818.14$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.3 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 43c | 800.68$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yes | 21c | 717.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.14 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 30c | 632.93$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.53 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 52c | 551.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.53 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 420$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 57c | 343.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…9c25backed Yes | 24c | 243.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.02 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked No | 64c | 239$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed No | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 70c | 172$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 8c | 149.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed No | 63c | 116.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 369 | 50.7%187 W · 182 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…b0f4backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 79c | 94.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Yes | 24c | 85.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…def2backed No | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…e9cebacked Yes | 19c | 73.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 76c | 62.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 59.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 79c | 26.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 78c | 14.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 17 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 17 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 17 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of August 17 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 17 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 17 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.