Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97fd68138299f654dfe7d46c56e86c30b03bd558d121e6380d204dfc016b6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 5c | 736.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 4c | 580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 4c | 491.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…abf7backed No | 79c | 343.03$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…c80abacked No | 79c | 341.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…ee03backed No | 68c | 340$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…e00fbacked No | 79c | 339.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…02aabacked No | 79c | 338.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 4c | 333.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…09e5backed No | 79c | 333.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…660bbacked No | 79c | 331.79$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…be62backed No | 79c | 331.31$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…fe5abacked No | 79c | 330.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…c93dbacked No | 79c | 330.25$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 20c | 311.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 6c | 259.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 229.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 30c | 183$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…f15abacked Yes | 21c | 182.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…5720backed Yes | 21c | 179.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…2dd9backed Yes | 21c | 178.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…6c5abacked Yes | 21c | 177.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…14d1backed Yes | 21c | 177.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…0bfbbacked Yes | 21c | 175.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…11cdbacked No | 79c | 174.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 174.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…4d9fbacked No | 79c | 174.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…5522backed No | 80c | 174.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…5347backed No | 80c | 173.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…2753backed No | 80c | 173.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e9…d89fbacked Yes | 23c | 172.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…6139backed Yes | 21c | 172.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…c664backed No | 79c | 172.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…2a7fbacked No | 80c | 170.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…e7aabacked No | 79c | 170.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfb…32f7backed Yes | 21c | 169.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…6a23backed No | 79c | 169.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…fdb4backed Yes | 21c | 169.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…149fbacked No | 79c | 169.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…075fbacked No | 79c | 167.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…5adcbacked No | 78c | 166.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ff…7be1backed No | 80c | 165.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…a9ffbacked No | 80c | 165.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…73e1backed No | 80c | 165.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…2cb9backed No | 80c | 164.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…e3d4backed No | 72c | 164.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bb65backed No | 78c | 164.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8f17backed No | 80c | 163.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…7b99backed No | 72c | 163.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…d796backed No | 78c | 163.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…ac36backed No | 80c | 163.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…71c4backed No | 80c | 162.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…1a31backed No | 78c | 162.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d7…a484backed No | 80c | 162.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…f2fcbacked No | 80c | 162.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…ec0cbacked No | 79c | 162.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…1967backed No | 80c | 161.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…31fcbacked No | 72c | 161.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…688cbacked No | 80c | 161.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…e85abacked No | 78c | 161.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…a120backed No | 72c | 160.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…a81bbacked No | 80c | 160.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…84cdbacked No | 78c | 160.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…b802backed No | 78c | 159.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…31c7backed No | 79c | 159.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…f3b8backed No | 80c | 159.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…110ebacked No | 80c | 159.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…501bbacked No | 72c | 159.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…55edbacked No | 80c | 158.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…036ebacked No | 80c | 158.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…561bbacked No | 80c | 157.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…ad48backed No | 79c | 157.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…d909backed No | 80c | 157.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…3bbbbacked No | 72c | 157.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…fe6abacked No | 80c | 157.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…5170backed No | 78c | 157.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…1031backed No | 80c | 157.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…fb14backed No | 80c | 156.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aea2backed No | 80c | 156.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…2a37backed No | 80c | 156.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…6bcbbacked No | 80c | 156.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…e1d1backed No | 72c | 156.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…aea2backed No | 72c | 156.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…4eacbacked No | 72c | 155.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…ef56backed No | 79c | 155.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…67f9backed No | 72c | 155.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…a0f5backed No | 78c | 155.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…8788backed No | 80c | 155.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…416dbacked No | 80c | 155.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…633abacked No | 79c | 154.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…a17cbacked No | 80c | 153.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…cb74backed No | 79c | 152.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…7041backed No | 80c | 152.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…62f4backed No | 78c | 151.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…87a1backed No | 80c | 151.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…6959backed No | 80c | 151.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…ca35backed No | 79c | 151.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…acb8backed No | 80c | 150.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…3387backed No | 80c | 150.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5c…82c8backed No | 80c | 150.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?this page
- Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?No won
- Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?No won
- Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?Yes won
- Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?No won
- Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?Yes won
- Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.