Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FCSB end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1731637d89aa542c3e9085ae533ae293bb985bfca424ff52356d8db35f1cdcff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 3,173$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 62c | 1,563$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.66 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 38c | 1,506$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.36 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 571$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 289.39$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 125.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 108.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 21c | 91.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 17c | 81.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 77c | 74.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 77c | 62.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…c9a0backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FCSB end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
- Will FCSB win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.