Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Rikke De Koning vs Lisa Claeys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdabaa02bb32d00565415bad375e542384e27cbcbb9d49fbe3e6bddc00f1336ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Claeysof Rikke De Koning, Lisa Claeys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rikke De Koning | 48c | 699.94$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.38 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Lisa Claeys | 35c | 407.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lisa Claeys | 52c | 270.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Rikke De Koning | 59c | 254.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lisa Claeys | 48c | 253.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lisa Claeys | 29c | 194.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lisa Claeys | 46c | 181.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Lisa Claeys | 32c | 157.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Rikke De Koning | 66c | 149.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Rikke De Koning | 44c | 142.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rikke De Koning | 57c | 137.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rikke De Koning | 59c | 110.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lisa Claeys | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rikke De Koning | 76c | 88.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rikke De Koning | 75c | 71.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Lisa Claeys | 25c | 67.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Lisa Claeys | 24c | 66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Lisa Claeys | 37c | 50.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Lisa Claeys | 48c | 40.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lisa Claeys | 50c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Rikke De Koning | 64c | 31.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Lisa Claeys | 55c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rikke De Koning | 50c | 25.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Rikke De Koning | 59c | 25.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Lisa Claeys | 54c | 22.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.