South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x255c474e00c2ee4a5df17bef6aa549642c0c5583788ccbada1f1870dbadf0734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,229$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.6 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.96 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 8,603$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.43 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 49c | 7,964$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.37 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Under | 56c | 5,509$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 2,832$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.81 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.19 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 72c | 1,488$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.14 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,390$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 922.18$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 60c | 691.67$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 45c | 539.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 41c | 527.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 40c | 492.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 39c | 488.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 48c | 406.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 50c | 405$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 50c | 390.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 390.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 52c | 376.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 350.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 26c | 270.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 79c | 261.34$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 49c | 222.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 198$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 164.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 158.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 156.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 149.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 58c | 149.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 141$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 55c | 139$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 51c | 131.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Under | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 53c | 117.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 15c | 117.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 51c | 112.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 106.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 98.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Over | 30c | 97.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 60c | 77.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 33c | 63.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 60c | 59.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 75c | 58.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 57.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Over | 50c | 57.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d488backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 54c | 45.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 55c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Under | 46c | 35.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 54c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 45c | 22.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 59c | 21.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 55c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.