South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48e7a4363b955b2b0d878d23966d729dcced5030b011f3d3694f7d9bbd2d8f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 6,365$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 5,347$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 5,227$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 4,218$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 4,171$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 2,385$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.52 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 37c | 2,046$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.61 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 60c | 1,300$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 1,258$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.76 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 1,202$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 36c | 1,011$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.96 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 795.97$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 56c | 613.17$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.38 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 58c | 505$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Under | 68c | 439.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Under | 60c | 370$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 55c | 363.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 59c | 332.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 268.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 64c | 250.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 175.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 58c | 129.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 58c | 101.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 29c | 93.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 89.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 83.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 44c | 76.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 73.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 71.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 67.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 57c | 55.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Over | 62c | 51.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 35c | 43.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 61c | 43.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 59c | 42.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 65c | 40.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 41c | 40.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 41c | 36.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 61c | 34.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 44c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…2c9abacked Over | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 62c | 28.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 64c | 28.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 25.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 51c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 61c | 17.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 69c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.