MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455017aeeb812643f1ff38fede7650be6258297043384222b28ec9c59f1cf10c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed New York Yankees | 58c | 299,414$173,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,561.04 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 256,203$107,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,597.52 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Houston Astros | 43c | 70,727$30,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,314.15 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees | 43c | 25,000$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,624.99 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 36c | 24,369$8,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,504.91 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees | 58c | 21,000$12,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,179.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 19,965$8,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,828.96 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 54c | 16,552$8,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,920.83 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Houston Astros | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 38c | 10,954$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.46 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.95 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 71c | 8,633$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.79 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 35c | 8,067$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.63 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed New York Yankees | 44c | 5,000$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 52c | 4,532$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 60c | 3,448$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.76 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,332$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.02 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed New York Yankees | 17c | 3,240$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,799$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.5 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,478$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.23 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,430$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.22 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 57c | 2,399$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.43 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,273$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.26 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.72 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,048$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.84 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,000$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,402$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.51 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,360$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 33c | 1,302$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.04 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,211$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,166$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.63 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,134$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.72 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,128$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.91 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,097$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.13 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,076$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.38 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed New York Yankees | 47c | 999.92$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked Houston Astros | 78c | 930.37$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Houston Astros | 42c | 930$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Houston Astros | 72c | 905.67$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 896.13$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.2 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 36c | 854.87$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.6 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…6850backed New York Yankees | 58c | 848.95$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed New York Yankees | 49c | 833.66$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 49c | 727.52$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.67 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed New York Yankees | 58c | 659.76$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.66 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 42c | 635.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Houston Astros | 65c | 610$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Houston Astros | 41c | 607.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.31 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 598.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.09 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees | 28c | 588.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked New York Yankees | 72c | 499.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed Houston Astros | 25c | 489.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +307.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Houston Astros | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Yankees | 42c | 431.45$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Houston Astros | 39c | 420.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed New York Yankees | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 400.82$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 381.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed New York Yankees | 57c | 375$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Houston Astros | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 346.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…a567backed New York Yankees | 59c | 335.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 328.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 320$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 315.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed New York Yankees | 43c | 296.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 291.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 280$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 267.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed New York Yankees | 17c | 260.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros | 42c | 260$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed New York Yankees | 20c | 257.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed New York Yankees | 71c | 254.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed New York Yankees | 58c | 242.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 235.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Houston Astros | 42c | 235$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 29c | 228.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Houston Astros | 20c | 226$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 42c | 223.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed New York Yankees | 63c | 220.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 207.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed Houston Astros | 66c | 207.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed New York Yankees | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Houston Astros | 66c | 199.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…bafebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 198.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Houston Astros | 43c | 195.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 195$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed New York Yankees | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Houston Astros | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 185$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.