TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Leipzig: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Aurora Zantedeschi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aurora Zantedeschiof Andrea Lazaro Garcia, Aurora Zantedeschi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Zantedeschi45c6,612$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia53c4,470$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia59c1,292$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.621,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora Zantedeschi47c886.53$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.988,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Zantedeschi43c580.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.176,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia51c568.69$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7129149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Zantedeschi27c311.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.842,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c228.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6487741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia50c226.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1170537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c223.54$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0242546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8538…ee29backed Aurora Zantedeschi68c198.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c175.79$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8737547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Aurora Zantedeschi19c153.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.343,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c142.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6269047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia53c130.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia55c125.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8938141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Aurora Zantedeschi43c121$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.455,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora Zantedeschi31c120.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.544,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia40c119.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia53c104.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.035240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Aurora Zantedeschi38c101.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8950946.6%237 W · 272 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Aurora Zantedeschi49c95.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.153,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia58c85.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.286,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia42c79.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.448549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c79.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4718459.8%110 W · 74 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Zantedeschi43c72.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.714,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia46c72.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3555941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Aurora Zantedeschi27c59.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.471,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c59.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6315236.2%55 W · 97 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia51c55.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.435039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Aurora Zantedeschi41c46.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.672,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c43.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8719540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia56c41.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.985545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia52c40.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.875,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee9…387bbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia43c37.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia43c34.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia64c30.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5825250.4%127 W · 125 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia49c27.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.196154.1%33 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia56c21.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0125951.7%134 W · 125 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia69c16.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Aurora Zantedeschi75c15.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9267178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.