Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Daniel Jade vs Raphael Perot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe68dfe1810223dcb202665ac8630ef849cc116c9cf385f34a9c77e0f18b9c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Perotof Daniel Jade, Raphael Perot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Jade | 5c | 2,977$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Jade | 6c | 1,988$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Daniel Jade | 51c | 1,540$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.59 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Daniel Jade | 51c | 731$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.07 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot | 57c | 636.88$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Raphael Perot | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Raphael Perot | 47c | 599.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Raphael Perot | 52c | 497.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.02 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daniel Jade | 16c | 462.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Daniel Jade | 52c | 334.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Daniel Jade | 32c | 294.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Daniel Jade | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Daniel Jade | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Raphael Perot | 47c | 192.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Daniel Jade | 24c | 169.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Raphael Perot | 46c | 152.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Raphael Perot | 48c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Raphael Perot | 69c | 143.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Raphael Perot | 47c | 137.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Raphael Perot | 49c | 136.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Raphael Perot | 49c | 125.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Daniel Jade | 52c | 124.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Jade | 52c | 114.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Daniel Jade | 47c | 102.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Raphael Perot | 61c | 100.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Daniel Jade | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Raphael Perot | 49c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Daniel Jade | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Daniel Jade | 53c | 74.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…ae70backed Daniel Jade | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Raphael Perot | 49c | 71.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Raphael Perot | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…255fbacked Raphael Perot | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…4736backed Raphael Perot | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Raphael Perot | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Daniel Jade | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Raphael Perot | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raphael Perot | 48c | 47.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Daniel Jade | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Daniel Jade | 53c | 40.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Raphael Perot | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Raphael Perot | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Daniel Jade | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Daniel Jade | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…76e2backed Daniel Jade | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daniel Jade | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Raphael Perot | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Raphael Perot | 59c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Raphael Perot | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 259 | 69.1%179 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Raphael Perot | 59c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.