Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2078503a269ace63906de8545a6edc4791a5e795dddcc3f0fe6e3b316328863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 3,700$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 3,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 71c | 2,254$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.52 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…e418backed Over | 39c | 2,190$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,179$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.1 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 780.89$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.51 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 741.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 71c | 633.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 385.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 371.31$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 40c | 250.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 657 | 57.7%379 W · 278 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 607 | 57.3%348 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 71c | 159.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 59c | 131$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…65bfbacked Under | 27c | 74.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 73c | 74.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 57c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 561 | 55.1%309 W · 252 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 27c | 51.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 41c | 40.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 35.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 58c | 18.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 426 | 60.6%258 W · 168 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.