Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f47a4a34810975e804cc5e96ad971d45023616da36332e79f663da22e6cdd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Brentford FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Brentford FC | 23c | 10,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC | 24c | 4,795$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 76c | 1,979$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Brentford FC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brentford FC | 20c | 1,465$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.14 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Brentford FC | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 615.09$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Brentford FC | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 443.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Brentford FC | 22c | 404.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Brentford FC | 16c | 283.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Brentford FC | 23c | 242.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Brentford FC | 22c | 240.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brentford FC | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Brentford FC | 21c | 180.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 38c | 115.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Brentford FC | 24c | 74.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 75c | 40.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…26fcbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 75c | 34.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 30.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 76c | 18.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…f83bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.