Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb4ae6a29cd39c98ab67cca5ce17bad362194a9a4e90d36d7371029301faa85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 6c | 1,351$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 9c | 660.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Under | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 435.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 302.47$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 25c | 239$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 25c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 101.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Over | 27c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 24c | 58.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 75c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.