Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ac93ba3045c805ad1d341e9ab79a3b6af2a33f0e9ae69db5bc8cea20d56aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 52c | 185.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 49c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.