TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Miami Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Hurricanesof Pittsburgh Panthers, Miami Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7b3…9573backed Miami Hurricanes73c2,697$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.936443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pittsburgh Panthers15c2,460$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.261,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Miami Hurricanes72c1,716$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.78639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers31c1,564$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.242,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Hurricanes74c1,376$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Miami Hurricanes69c1,240$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Panthers57c1,229$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.433,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes65c1,098$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers17c653.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Panthers37c612$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.22,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c500.46$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Hurricanes45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27543450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Miami Hurricanes79c477.94$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Miami Hurricanes71c421.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3810757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami Hurricanes62c399.94$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.821,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes57c390.84$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers17c353.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.831723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Pittsburgh Panthers33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.53638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami Hurricanes66c287.82$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.891,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Miami Hurricanes38c268.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7514021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Miami Hurricanes62c164.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.163135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Panthers24c161.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.842,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers39c160.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9414925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Pittsburgh Panthers31c159.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers23c146.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Miami Hurricanes75c135.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.613865.8%25 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Pittsburgh Panthers17c107.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8421535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Pittsburgh Panthers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9119238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Hurricanes62c98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.281,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Hurricanes56c86.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.782,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Pittsburgh Panthers18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Miami Hurricanes62c51.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Pittsburgh Panthers46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Hurricanes55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.153,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Pittsburgh Panthers40c43.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3921342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Pittsburgh Panthers54c36.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5219055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…a965backed Miami Hurricanes53c35.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Hurricanes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Miami Hurricanes76c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.479254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf470…67fdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers44c28.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers44c24.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Miami Hurricanes49c20.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6210049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x231d…6d97backed Miami Hurricanes64c20.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Miami Hurricanes64c18.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.