Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ea6015f6da75257492a1d851de45824fd5dc6ea72a06f21fe1737240f645c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonmezof Kasintseva, Sonmez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf353…b287backed Kasintseva | 2c | 9,252$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kasintseva | 21c | 7,277$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Kasintseva | 11c | 4,999$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kasintseva | 1c | 3,954$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kasintseva | 18c | 2,488$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kasintseva | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sonmez | 63c | 1,300$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kasintseva | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Kasintseva | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Kasintseva | 37c | 542.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kasintseva | 35c | 526.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Kasintseva | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Kasintseva | 54c | 423.31$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Kasintseva | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kasintseva | 16c | 368.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kasintseva | 12c | 354.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Sonmez | 62c | 337.03$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Sonmez | 66c | 257.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 160 | 59.4%95 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Kasintseva | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…e39bbacked Sonmez | 71c | 177.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Kasintseva | 46c | 143.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Kasintseva | 13c | 114.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sonmez | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kasintseva | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…83eabacked Kasintseva | 58c | 81.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…f575backed Kasintseva | 20c | 76.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…9d4dbacked Sonmez | 66c | 60.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Kasintseva | 25c | 50.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Kasintseva | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Kasintseva | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Kasintseva | 28c | 38.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Kasintseva | 39c | 38.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Sonmez | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Kasintseva | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Kasintseva | 51c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Kasintseva | 45c | 22.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…bd93backed Kasintseva | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sonmez | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.