Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley Braves vs. Belmont Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16220347264189cab2ff067d6c51c454851c377147cee794a787f198867243d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Bradley Braves, Belmont Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Belmont Bruins | 62c | 3,362$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.93 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bradley Braves | 21c | 3,081$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Belmont Bruins | 72c | 2,862$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bradley Braves | 37c | 2,027$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Bradley Braves | 34c | 914.83$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bradley Braves | 26c | 883.05$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bradley Braves | 11c | 869.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves | 26c | 780.26$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Belmont Bruins | 76c | 724.4$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Belmont Bruins | 65c | 710.45$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Bradley Braves | 30c | 632.83$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Bradley Braves | 37c | 442.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Belmont Bruins | 63c | 416.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bradley Braves | 31c | 335.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 326.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 243.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bradley Braves | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Bradley Braves | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bradley Braves | 35c | 190.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Bradley Braves | 35c | 187.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bradley Braves | 31c | 138$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Belmont Bruins | 68c | 119.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Bradley Braves | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 99.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bradley Braves | 35c | 84.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 82.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Bradley Braves | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 75c | 78.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Bradley Braves | 16c | 78.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bradley Braves | 38c | 74.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Belmont Bruins | 72c | 70.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Bradley Braves | 35c | 68.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Belmont Bruins | 62c | 68.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Bradley Braves | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Belmont Bruins | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Belmont Bruins | 63c | 48.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bradley Braves | 33c | 45.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Belmont Bruins | 56c | 44.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bradley Braves | 34c | 44.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Bradley Braves | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 42.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Belmont Bruins | 64c | 35.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 21.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked Belmont Bruins | 76c | 18.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…57bdbacked Belmont Bruins | 70c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Belmont Bruins | 78c | 12.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.