NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd32f6ce16bedb4de609684c10754872b1b49b0c7ad165c1cb9d64ea970859db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 5,852$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.94 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 651.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 452$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 50c | 434.52$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 383.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 376.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 352.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 51c | 294.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 265.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 56c | 183.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 140.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a877backed Under | 52c | 95.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 43c | 87.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 49c | 74.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 58.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 52c | 51.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 52c | 51.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 39.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…8a25backed Over | 50c | 33.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 23.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed Under | 51c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Wild vs. UtahUtah won
- Wild vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.