NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8dc922fc1842da694a85bb455efc49185e7d84bfe11b90d7ea98674d56d203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 43c | 3,777$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.21 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 2,905$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.8 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 57c | 1,901$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.49 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 821.95$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.35 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 809$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 794.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.61 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 28c | 772.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +1,500%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 5c | 456.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 291.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 63c | 287.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 73c | 271.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 35c | 214.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 71c | 196$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 173.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 143.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 61c | 140$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 136.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Under | 29c | 129.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 60c | 128.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 125.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 41c | 113.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Over | 58c | 100.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 43c | 72.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 41c | 70.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 39c | 64.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 60c | 55.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…abfabacked Under | 42c | 48.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Over | 58c | 48.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 69c | 48.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…65f6backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Over | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 60c | 26.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 77c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Wild vs. UtahUtah won
- Wild vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.