MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891dbbdbf15f860d847756bd07ebec0f3424f64ca59293b793947d967ba7ba9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Under | 53c | 12,300$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 27c | 7,624$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 3,937$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 3,003$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 1,749$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 1,513$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.07 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 56c | 896.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.55 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 855.06$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 485.53$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 421.29$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 396$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 396$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 396$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 28c | 294.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Over | 47c | 269.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 264$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 238.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 27c | 227.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 57c | 209.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 75c | 181.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 37c | 170.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 36c | 145.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 145$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 43c | 139.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 48c | 131.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 128.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 47c | 109.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Over | 53c | 103.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed Under | 54c | 99.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392e…1fbdbacked Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Over | 41c | 83.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 66.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 54c | 61.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 25c | 57.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 33.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…89f9backed Under | 54c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 24.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.