MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73f941b20823589461d3fb60da0b67142b2ce2296eb9ec16750a2e3cdca01e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 103,784$51,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,790.93 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over | 48c | 10,369$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 8,385$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.29 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 7,972$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 5,585$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 5,505$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 50c | 3,869$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.33 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 3,660$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.6 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 2,728$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.94 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,516$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 881.12$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.34 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 52c | 867.05$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 792.38$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.33 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 687.02$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.38 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 612.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 575.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 51c | 542.31$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over | 7c | 489$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 50c | 475.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 48c | 430.69$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 370.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.73 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 345.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 308$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 41c | 204.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 51c | 201.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 50c | 150.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Under | 51c | 141.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 50c | 134.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 53c | 128.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 32c | 92.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 46c | 77.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 56c | 76.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 66.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 65.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 55.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 51c | 54.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 51c | 47.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 51c | 43.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 42.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Over | 51c | 32.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…724abacked Over | 51c | 32.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 28.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…22c9backed Under | 49c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…8be3backed Under | 51c | 25.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…b90bbacked Over | 51c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 48c | 21.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 78c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.