MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f7a5aac621708c4a970d7cabda5515b9e4efe1454b86be0940608ad1b715b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 57,528$27,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,038.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 48,544$25,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,880.66 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…2e6dbacked Under | 49c | 6,922$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 4,612$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 1,689$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 1,626$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,358$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 1,302$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 1,243$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 967.53$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 53c | 717$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 599.56$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 52c | 587.25$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 49c | 472$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 25c | 409$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 341$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a91…15c5backed Under | 48c | 321.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 293.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 293.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 285$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…6b58backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 258.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 241$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 239$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 205.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 53c | 155.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 47c | 148$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 50c | 143.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 51c | 138$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 136.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 30c | 108.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 34c | 106.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 25c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 51c | 95.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 74c | 90.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 59c | 82.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 52c | 49.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…6552backed Over | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b27…09b1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4709backed Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 56c | 32.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ab25backed Over | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…75a4backed Over | 53c | 27.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…7b20backed Under | 48c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 55c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 49c | 25.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2166backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 52c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…8315backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…b93bbacked Under | 58c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.