MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548f031d6bfec47748416e2965cb37710e12803cf3df11a89bfb85943ed431af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 83,642$31,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,727.24 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 68,975$42,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,210.33 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 55,555$34,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,110.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 34,235$13,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,009.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 5,365$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 4,826$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.98 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 4,593$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.53 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 881.53$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 788.93$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 702$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 663.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 606$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 565.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…7e4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 344.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 344$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 342.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 309.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 298$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 276$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 246.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 209.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 181$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 169$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 159.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 158.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 155$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b16…66d3backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 153.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 141.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 136$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…6aaabacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 83.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 80.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 72.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 69.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 62.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 61.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 58.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 44.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 31.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.