MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac76f683a4196b1caa54cb9fdadfc305a3a570efedfa1b7f9b5dd533201068e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 56c | 28,249$15,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,819.2 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 19,114$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,703.56 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 64c | 6,326$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.86 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 4,614$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…2e6dbacked Under | 58c | 2,382$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 1,386$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.11 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,334$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 75c | 598.5$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 480$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 465.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 44c | 382.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.07 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 286.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 20c | 224$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…c077backed Over | 14c | 204.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 42c | 164.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 64c | 149.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 52c | 116.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 53c | 106.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 44c | 104.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…4a0abacked Under | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 44c | 88.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4e…d751backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 56c | 68.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Over | 44c | 57.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 40c | 37.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…1f9dbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 55c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 55c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…53d5backed Under | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.