TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof Saint Joseph's Hawks, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,292 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Davidson Wildcats56c45,541$25,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,503.189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c16,516$7,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,249.1484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c11,153$4,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,245.6774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Davidson Wildcats56c4,413$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.832,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c4,381$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.49244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c4,064$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.221,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Saint Joseph's Hawks39c3,504$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.171,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks43c3,446$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Davidson Wildcats61c3,333$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.112,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c2,974$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.5114647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c1,487$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.7618349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c991.38$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1725043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Davidson Wildcats59c973.01$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.0821549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks41c835.44$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.915,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks52c803.36$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.314,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c766.06$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9934746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks43c691.81$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Davidson Wildcats61c673.99$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.983,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks40c564.64$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.522268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c550.76$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.439747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Saint Joseph's Hawks39c513.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Davidson Wildcats57c476.46$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.714,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c419.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.695743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Davidson Wildcats59c368.41$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.581,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Davidson Wildcats22c291.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Davidson Wildcats61c244.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3726254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Davidson Wildcats56c234$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c225.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1818851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c225.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.187454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saint Joseph's Hawks58c224.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.132,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c220.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks39c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c199.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.522,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Davidson Wildcats58c198.38$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks39c195.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks45c166.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks38c120.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7437441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks57c115.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6858652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c112.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2560954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8727…8c3abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c111.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c101.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks42c86.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks40c86.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.061,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks41c84.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Davidson Wildcats61c81.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.583148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Davidson Wildcats62c80.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5910244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Davidson Wildcats51c79.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.422,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Davidson Wildcats66c74.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.612458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Saint Joseph's Hawks40c74.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2710034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x453f…6b3bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c71.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.912352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Davidson Wildcats57c69.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks47c61.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7825246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks41c60.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6712153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Davidson Wildcats30c60.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.291,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Davidson Wildcats51c56.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Saint Joseph's Hawks39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Saint Joseph's Hawks42c47.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks50c45.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c45.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.243542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Davidson Wildcats35c39.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.011,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Davidson Wildcats41c38.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.835438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Davidson Wildcats56c37.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.051,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Davidson Wildcats60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks59c34.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks63c34.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Davidson Wildcats63c31.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.742152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks41c30.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.065248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Davidson Wildcats54c29.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.031643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c27.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.442755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c26.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9961244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Davidson Wildcats56c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Davidson Wildcats76c20.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Davidson Wildcats63c18.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.