NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92798f5b529697273b3fa72fd1f24293ef440cda1e1a0095ad8408d7aee143b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Canadiens, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Canadiens | 39c | 101,788$39,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,697.33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 37,924$23,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 37,500$22,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,625 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 16,934$10,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.38 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 13,500$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 6,145$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.36 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canadiens | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Canadiens | 40c | 4,471$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canadiens | 39c | 4,418$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.01 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 4,297$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.6 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 4,043$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 3,959$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.6 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,532$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Canadiens | 39c | 3,340$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,888$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Canadiens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Canadiens | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.97 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Canadiens | 38c | 2,326$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,304$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,141$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.98 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,831$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…f133backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,764$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…dd5bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,764$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…e864backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,764$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Canadiens | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…9d39backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,695$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…50f0backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,484$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,484$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,375$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.22 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Canadiens | 40c | 1,351$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…b458backed Canadiens | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,133$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,080$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.92 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Canadiens | 39c | 932.98$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.86 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…fec6backed Canadiens | 40c | 922.95$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 39c | 889$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.71 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Canadiens | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9a…2dacbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 769.96$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…4d52backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 730.1$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Canadiens | 29c | 689.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 39c | 678.33$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 39c | 653.67$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 612.9$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 40c | 597.72$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.09 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 582.74$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 37c | 565.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 533.29$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8bd3backed Canadiens | 41c | 489.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 437.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…0932backed Canadiens | 40c | 427.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 427.36$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Canadiens | 39c | 411.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…7a88backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 400$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 361.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Canadiens | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 43c | 349.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 38c | 330.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 327.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 306.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Canadiens | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…46a5backed Canadiens | 41c | 285$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Canadiens | 39c | 253.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Canadiens | 40c | 252.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 226$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 200.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 198.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…b374backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 188.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…d605backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 186.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 171.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 166.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…3528backed Canadiens | 40c | 166.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…8e13backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 162.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.