MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffef86e6bb82eec1f0bd0dfadc64234ad4b81f688c3410ff5b605668453a2014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof KT Wiz, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed KT Wiz | 64c | 1,770$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.91 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 1,463$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked KT Wiz | 3c | 895$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 65c | 593.21$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 495.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 356.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 53c | 344.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 59c | 344.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 327.31$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 292$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 182.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 60c | 166.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed KT Wiz | 65c | 154.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 140.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 128.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed KT Wiz | 42c | 108.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 103.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 84.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 70c | 76.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 73.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked KT Wiz | 34c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 51.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked KT Wiz | 46c | 48.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KT Wiz | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.