Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd61d851ba1dd9888b97b6224c11f4b3a6cc216ad9063a3787b92185874b568d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 13,015$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.05 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 3,435$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.72 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 1,118$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 877.05$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.34 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 854$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.28 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 43c | 462.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 454.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 440.56$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 43c | 304$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 43c | 304$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 26c | 299.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 296$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 249.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 124.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,365 | 45.5%621 W · 744 L | +14.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 44c | 116$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 74c | 111$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 99.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 44c | 33.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 63c | 28.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.