MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3b8ce5bcb85725cd2d6d591c26728e015f4f50fb280811d3035c7b26b3d15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 6,189$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 4,569$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 41c | 2,962$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.46 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 2,805$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,554$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.43 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 64c | 1,204$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…d88abacked Under | 6c | 1,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 1,173$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.01 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 1,065$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.55 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 52c | 929$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 784$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 50c | 597.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 53c | 592$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.36 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 392.58$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Under | 49c | 359.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 330.72$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 6cpaid | +507.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 15c | 287.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 271.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 190.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 187.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 121.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…846dbacked Under | 49c | 100.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 97.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 37.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 47c | 29.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 48c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Over | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 55 | 81.8%45 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.