MLB · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2235a83c801ecab8853b6dee650b149b103c178d268582c886dc98e020546c8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 12,812$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.49 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 8,822$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 5,435$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.29 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 4,257$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.91 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 3,658$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.78 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 2,946$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.58 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,636$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.29 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 1,132$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.28 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 948.9$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 924.26$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.86 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 581.36$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.93 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 430.72$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.59 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 344$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 318$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 302.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 289.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 260.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 259.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 249.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 209$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 191.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 158.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 147.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 105.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 93.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 89.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 73.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 69.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 62.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 60.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 59.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 58.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 56.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 50.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 43.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 43.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 41.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 38.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…1303backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 32.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 27.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.