MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad38d1a855ba1acdf2eb0fb2b8c655f8f9a01b6f78d9229bcf2731bb5ac49b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 764.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 332$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 234.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 73c | 221$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 208.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Kia Tigers | 74c | 201.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 187.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 180.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 178.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 130.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Kia Tigers | 68c | 101.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kia Tigers | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 97.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 96.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 91.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 90.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 77c | 72.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 69.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 74c | 54.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5b…ba7abacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kia Tigers | 72c | 51.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 41.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 40.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 33.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Kia Tigers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…3f05backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…c133backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…cca3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…9c0bbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…5afbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…1df5backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…1fe6backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…b654backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Kia Tigers | 74c | 18.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 74c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.