Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cca52d56a2a52c90eb07d195478c3eaf964f01e5568e48a52b780af876ae0e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 24c | 4,932$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.67 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 4,107$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 62c | 3,242$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 1,903$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.74 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 1,787$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.46 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 1,642$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.08 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 1,367$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.1 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 75c | 990.81$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 712.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 76c | 658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 637.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 27c | 632.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 295$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 169.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 162.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 101.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed No | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 84.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 25c | 59.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 30c | 42.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 40.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 65c | 28.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 41c | 24.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 68c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked No | 76c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.