Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85d0cce72d9ed2f7f52e8b3ac5510f42ff8b12c003ba40123c80c6b9fffb51c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d0…98e2backed No | 0c | 9,242$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 41c | 606.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 51c | 563.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 560.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 79c | 526.33$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 513.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 452.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 452.2$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 43c | 447.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.86 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 423.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes | 47c | 399.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.28 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 63c | 381.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 48c | 378.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked No | 23c | 351.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 313.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 271.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 36c | 257.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 36c | 255.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 56c | 251.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 48c | 240.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 52c | 218.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 39c | 210.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed No | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 190.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 183.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 39c | 173.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 169.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 164.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 39c | 162.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 56c | 154.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 151.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 51c | 141.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 41c | 138$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 37c | 136.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 73c | 134.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 62c | 132.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 50c | 126.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed No | 55c | 124.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 20c | 124.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb991…aa11backed No | 23c | 116.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 31c | 114.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 57c | 114.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 41c | 114.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…2be8backed Yes | 41c | 112.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 48c | 111.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 21c | 110.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694b…dadbbacked Yes | 40c | 107.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 64c | 107.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed Yes | 60c | 106.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 45c | 104.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 39c | 103.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 38c | 99.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…171bbacked Yes | 60c | 99.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 69c | 98.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…add7backed Yes | 43c | 98.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…b40ebacked Yes | 41c | 97.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…d2f1backed Yes | 46c | 95.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…f1bcbacked No | 50c | 94.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…4636backed Yes | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 73c | 90.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 40c | 89.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 58c | 87.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 53c | 87.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…8434backed Yes | 51c | 86.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 58c | 84.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed No | 33c | 82.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 46c | 81.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 26c | 80.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…8994backed Yes | 38c | 80.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 42c | 79.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 40c | 78.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 41c | 77.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 62c | 77.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…b1c2backed Yes | 60c | 76.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 71c | 75.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…7ca0backed No | 58c | 74.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 38c | 73.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 38c | 73.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 43c | 73.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 64c | 72.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…69e7backed Yes | 51c | 71.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…8d09backed Yes | 44c | 70.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…b89cbacked No | 68c | 70.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…52a2backed No | 53c | 69.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…3b2ebacked Yes | 71c | 68.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…4e4bbacked Yes | 53c | 68.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 68.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 38c | 67.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 38c | 65.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 62c | 64.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406f…327dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 63.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 45c | 62.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 50c | 59.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on April 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.