Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0545a3c285aa451c39e62e6fcfa19730b965a937a961cafc7cebaa0bca006fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,768$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.01 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 39c | 973.47$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.46 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 1c | 923.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 6c | 830.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 8c | 749$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked Yes | 11c | 635.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…bfa8backed Yes | 10c | 614.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 13c | 609.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 606.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…0e27backed Yes | 21c | 527.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 69c | 477.91$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 9c | 450.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 444.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 22c | 394.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…4cfcbacked Yes | 3c | 363.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 43 | 4.7%2 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 12c | 361.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes | 26c | 359.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 357.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 353.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 18c | 312.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 11c | 312.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 8c | 283.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 274.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Yes | 13c | 257.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 239.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 20c | 217.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…5fc8backed Yes | 18c | 212.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 14c | 210.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 205.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked No | 80c | 205.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 14c | 199.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 21c | 196.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed Yes | 39c | 194.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed No | 76c | 166.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 164.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 163.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed No | 76c | 163.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 31c | 159.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes | 24c | 159.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 26c | 154.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked Yes | 26c | 143.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 13c | 139.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 32c | 133.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 24c | 133.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 132.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 10c | 127.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 37c | 125.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…7ca0backed Yes | 27c | 121.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 116.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Yes | 10c | 115.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406f…327dbacked Yes | 27c | 111.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 23c | 105.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…aa95backed Yes | 11c | 104.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…171bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…0a7bbacked Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 24c | 97.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…f7d8backed Yes | 11c | 96.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…f1bcbacked Yes | 19c | 96.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 72c | 95.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…4b28backed Yes | 22c | 92.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 20c | 88.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed Yes | 22c | 86.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…be44backed Yes | 20c | 86.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 85.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 16c | 82.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 79.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 72c | 79.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 22c | 77.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 76c | 76.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 31c | 73.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…c745backed Yes | 35c | 72.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 23c | 67.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 66.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 26c | 65.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 24c | 63.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 20c | 61.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 61.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 36c | 59.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 37c | 59.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 19c | 55.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 69c | 55.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 68c | 54.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 19c | 53.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…011fbacked Yes | 23c | 52.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 52.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…11a3backed No | 67c | 52.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked No | 78c | 51.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes | 36c | 50.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on April 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.