Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc446406ebbf0e02b4107945608bb2631c89ccb1cad37b81cdf86b62ef1214700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Olimpia Milano, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 4,066$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Olimpia Milano | 77c | 2,561$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.67 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 1,630$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olimpia Milano | 60c | 1,564$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.16 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 1,133$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.06 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Olimpia Milano | 75c | 970.98$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.4 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 932.69$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 59c | 774.66$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…84bfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 32c | 625.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olimpia Milano | 73c | 611.51$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.03 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Olimpia Milano | 49c | 541.44$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Olimpia Milano | 78c | 519$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.45 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 489.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 470.93$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 463.29$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 447.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 428.56$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 399.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 37c | 352.56$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 311.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Olimpia Milano | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 38c | 224.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 219.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Olimpia Milano | 62c | 187$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Olimpia Milano | 64c | 184.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 128.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Olimpia Milano | 75c | 105.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 99.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Olimpia Milano | 60c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Olimpia Milano | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Olimpia Milano | 74c | 66.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 32c | 62.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 61.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Olimpia Milano | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 59c | 58.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Olimpia Milano | 65c | 51.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Olimpia Milano | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 36c | 49.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Olimpia Milano | 64c | 45.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Olimpia Milano | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 42.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 39c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…a0fdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Olimpia Milano | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.