NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d4c98c632532fa9ee7266f6faefd3bcdcd8b532e9414c31798a6b14cebd0678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Spartak Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 2,315$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…204fbacked Spartak Moscow | 35c | 1,310$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…6a91backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 1,280$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spartak Moscow | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Spartak Moscow | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spartak Moscow | 31c | 494.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Spartak Moscow | 28c | 425.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 363.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Spartak Moscow | 33c | 298$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Spartak Moscow | 22c | 242.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Spartak Moscow | 34c | 149.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Spartak Moscow | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Spartak Moscow | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Spartak Moscow | 33c | 81.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Spartak Moscow | 33c | 76.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 65.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Spartak Moscow | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartak Moscow | 36c | 37.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Spartak Moscow | 33c | 35.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…a4e0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.