Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x510bd99f1b675dc2c8e69d098d5b32a0de348b9b1a72a515eec8e07e0dbeba32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 3,076$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 43c | 2,993$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.78 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 52c | 277$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 202.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 164.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 98.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 48c | 81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 58.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.