Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7017a3301e757f4a97b5b0327043cb9ef4f6b67b570c9ef13e30e4f5713f8b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wofford Terriersof Wofford Terriers, Western Carolina Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Wofford Terriers | 43c | 183$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 53c | 152$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 148$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Wofford Terriers | 43c | 138$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 127$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Wofford Terriers | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Wofford Terriers | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Wofford Terriers | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Wofford Terriers | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Wofford Terriers | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Wofford Terriers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Wofford Terriers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Wofford Terriers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Wofford Terriers | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wofford Terriers | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Wofford Terriers | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Wofford Terriers | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wofford Terriers | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Wofford Terriers | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-1.5)Wofford Terriers won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWofford Terriers won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5Over won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 153.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.